# Safety and Affordability PAC 22.4M House IE October 2026 On **2026-10-28 and 2026-10-29**, [[Safety and Affordability PAC]] (FEC **C00960443**) spent **$22,415,534.51** on independent expenditures across **23 House candidates in nine states**, disclosed on one 24-hour notice — **file 2043989**, form `F24N`, received **2026-10-29T19:58:37**. **Four weeks earlier this committee's entire disclosed existence was a single $1,281,250.00 notice.** It has now filed $17.0 million ([[Safety and Affordability PAC 17M Multi-Race IE October 2026]]) and $22.4 million within seven days of each other, and **its funders remain undisclosed and will stay that way until after the votes are counted.** ## 🔴 42% of it is reported as dollar-matched pairs | Race | Supported | Opposed | Amount each | |---|---|---|---| | NY (House) | [[Mike Lawler]] | [[Cait Conley]] | $1,496,250.00 | | AZ (House) | Thomas James Feely | Amish Shah | $1,411,078.00 | | OH (House) | Derek Merrin | [[Marcy Kaptur]] | $620,280.00 | | NY (House) | [[Mike Lawler]] | [[Cait Conley]] | $450,000.00 | | NY (House) | [[Anthony Constantino]] | [[Blake Gendebien]] | $360,000.00 | | AZ (House) | [[Juan Ciscomani]] | Joanna Mendoza | $187,500.15 | | NC (House) | [[Laurie Buckhout]] | [[Don Davis]] | $114,666.66 / $114,666.67 | | NC (House) | [[Laurie Buckhout]] | Tom Bailey | $114,666.66 / $114,666.67 | **Mirrored dollars: $9,508,882.96 — 42.42% of the notice.** Eight pairs, each putting an identical sum for one candidate and against an opponent, almost always to the cent. ⚠️ **What this does and does not mean.** The pairs are **not double-counted**: each line is a genuine Schedule E item and the notice total includes each once. What they break is the *reading* of a support/oppose split. When one invoice is reported as two lines facing opposite ways, a figure like "$X spent against candidate Y" describes an accounting convention as much as an advertising buy. Any support-versus-oppose total drawn from a notice reported this way is softer than it looks. **The North Carolina triple is a shape this wiki has not recorded before.** One $114,666.66 line supports [[Laurie Buckhout]] while **two** lines of $114,666.67 each oppose two different candidates — [[Don Davis]] and Tom Bailey. A single sum split three ways across one race. **It is the second committee to report this way, and both use the same compliance shop.** [[No Going Back PAC]] carried fourteen such pairs worth $4.1 million on [[No Going Back PAC 34.9M Multi-Race IE October 2026]]. Both committees file from **C/O Bulldog Compliance, 100 Cummings Center, Beverly MA**, with **Charles Gantt** as treasurer. That makes the pattern most likely **one compliance shop's bookkeeping convention** rather than two committees independently inventing it — which is the narrower, duller and better-evidenced explanation. It establishes no coordination between the committees. ## Where it went | State | Amount | Share | Lines | |---|---|---|---| | New York | $4,733,780.31 | 21.12% | 7 | | Michigan | $3,483,062.80 | 15.54% | 2 | | Arizona | $3,197,156.30 | 14.26% | 4 | | Ohio | $2,780,188.20 | 12.40% | 4 | | North Carolina | $2,684,060.30 | 11.97% | 5 | | Colorado | $1,681,873.00 | 7.50% | 3 | | Maine | $1,638,007.20 | 7.31% | 2 | | Wisconsin | $1,617,407.00 | 7.22% | 2 | | Pennsylvania | $599,999.40 | 2.68% | 2 | | Direction | Amount | Lines | Share | |---|---|---|---| | Opposing a candidate | $17,775,759.70 | 24 | 79.30% | | Supporting a candidate | $4,639,774.81 | 7 | 20.70% | **The largest single line is $3,053,062.80 against William Lawrence** in Michigan. ⚠️ **A filing names a candidate, a state and an office; it does not give a party.** For the party and standing of any candidate above, see that race's own page. ## Two firms placed 99.5% of it | Payee | Amount | Share | Lines | |---|---|---|---| | [[Del Ray Media LLC]] | $16,043,747.00 | **71.57%** | 22 | | [[MHB Media Inc]] | $6,250,507.20 | **27.88%** | 8 | | Whistlestop Strategies LLC | $121,280.31 | 0.54% | 1 | **This is the tightest vendor concentration on any eight-figure notice in the window** — two firms, 30 of 31 lines, 99.46% of the money. It is the same pair, in the same order, as the committee's $17.0 million notice seven days earlier, where [[Del Ray Media LLC]] took 78.4% and [[MHB Media Inc]] 21.6%. [[Del Ray Media LLC]] also placed **$16,085,911.15** for [[Congressional Leadership Fund]] on the very same expenditure date ([[CLF 39M House IE October 2026]]) — **$32.1 million for two committees in one day**, and the two committees' target lists overlap on [[Don Davis]], [[Cait Conley]], [[Rebecca Cooke]], [[Manny Rutinel]], [[Marcy Kaptur]], [[Christina Hines]], [[Bob Brooks]], [[Paige Cognetti]] and Amish Shah — nine of this notice's twenty-three candidates. **That overlap was already on the record.** The committee's own page recorded in early October that its first three targets were all on CLF's list. It is now nine, at twenty times the money, through a shared buyer. The wiki records this as procurement overlap and target convergence; **it establishes no coordination**, and a shared media buyer is a commonplace of this industry. ## Why it matters **A committee with no disclosed funders is now spending at party-committee scale.** $39.4 million across two notices in seven days puts [[Safety and Affordability PAC]] within striking distance of [[Congressional Leadership Fund]]'s own daily rate, with none of the disclosure. Its first Form 3X — the report that would name who paid for it — is not due until after the election. **Where it is spending is as telling as how much.** Nearly $4.7 million into two New York districts, in a notice that also supports [[Anthony Constantino]] on the same day he put **$1,000,000 of his own money** into his campaign ([[Constantino 1M Self-Funding NY-21]]). ## Verification All 31 Schedule E lines are unflagged originals on an `F24N` notice: no amendment form code, no memo code (field 42), no duplicated line, one election code (`G2026`). Thirty lines are dated **2026-10-28** and one — a $430,000.00 Colorado line — **2026-10-29**. The notice totals **$22,415,534.51**, and the per-state, per-candidate and per-payee tables above each reconcile to it to the cent. The mirrored-pair figure is derived from the support/oppose indicator (field 26) and the line amounts, pair by pair. ⚠️ **First read.** Derived on 2026-10-30 from the first full day of a restored FEC filing index; see [[FEC Electronic Filing Outage October 2026]]. Form 24 notices are re-checked at T-2 and T-3 for late arrivals and amendments. ## See Also - [[Safety and Affordability PAC]] · [[Del Ray Media LLC]] · [[MHB Media Inc]] - [[No Going Back PAC 34.9M Multi-Race IE October 2026]] · [[CLF 39M House IE October 2026]] - [[Constantino 1M Self-Funding NY-21]] · [[NY-21-2026]] - [[Independent Expenditure]] · [[Super PACs]] · [[Dark Money]] · [[2026 Midterms Hub]]