# House Majority PAC 49.9M House Map IE October 2026 On **e-file receipt date 2026-10-15** — the Q3 filing deadline — [[House Majority PAC]] disclosed **$49,877,821.42** of independent expenditures across **203 Schedule E lines** in **50 House races** on a single **Form 24** notice, file **2027688**. It is the **largest single Form 24 notice in this vault's entire 2026 record**, in either partisan direction, and it clears the **$10,000,000.00 single-buy threshold** nearly five times over. Every expenditure carries the same dissemination date — **2026-10-13** — which makes this one buy placed on one day across fifty districts. > [!warning] 🔴 The largest filing of the cycle landed on the busiest filing day of the cycle > This notice was received on **October 15** — the quarterly report deadline, and the single > highest-traffic day in the federal disclosure calendar, when more than a thousand documents arrive at > once and the largest committees file hundreds of pages of receipts. **A $49.9 million notice in fifty > districts went up inside that wave**, late in the evening, and this site found it a day afterwards > rather than on the day. > > That is worth stating plainly because it is a general property of the system rather than an accident: > the deadline that forces committees to disclose the most is also the moment at which any one > disclosure is hardest to see. Same-day reporting of a deadline day is reliably incomplete, and a > figure published that evening is a floor rather than a count. ## Terms | Item | Detail | |---|---| | Spender | **HMP** ([[House Majority PAC]]), FEC committee **C00495028**, 1032 15th Street NW Suite 247, Washington DC | | Treasurer | **Brian Wolff** | | Disclosed | FEC **Form 24** independent-expenditure notice, file **2027688**, `F24N`, received **2026-10-15** | | Dissemination date | **2026-10-13**, every line | | Election code | **G2026** throughout | | Lines | **203**, all live — no memo-flagged rows, no amendment rows | | Total | **$49,877,821.42** | | Races | **50** | | Direction | Effectively all negative — the only support lines are **$72,136.00** (Kristina Knickerbocker, OH) and **$27,684.00** ([[Marcy Kaptur]], OH), **0.2% combined** | | Lead vendor | **[[Waterfront Strategies]]** — **$39,139,326.05**, **78.5%** of the notice | ## Where the money went — the fifteen largest races | Direction | Candidate | State | Amount | Lines | Cycle aggregate on the filing | |---|---|---|---|---|---| | **oppose** | Scott Singer | FL | **$3,255,059.00** | 7 | $7,054,049.04 | | **oppose** | [[Laurie Buckhout]] | NC | **$2,700,906.29** | 5 | $5,769,202.05 | | **oppose** | Casey Askar | FL | **$2,644,415.88** | 5 | $5,145,194.20 | | **oppose** | [[Brian Fitzpatrick]] | PA | **$2,225,946.95** | 6 | $2,954,911.42 | | **oppose** | Michael Bouchard | MI | **$1,857,018.67** | 5 | $4,230,133.26 | | **oppose** | [[Derrick Van Orden]] | WI | **$1,837,689.00** | 3 | $4,188,374.78 | | **oppose** | Thomas Barrett | MI | **$1,818,978.44** | 4 | $5,285,338.45 | | **oppose** | [[Max Miller]] | OH | **$1,780,418.52** | 5 | $3,383,403.04 | | **oppose** | [[Paul LePage]] | ME | **$1,725,947.82** | 4 | $5,086,182.65 | | **oppose** | Mike Beltran | FL | **$1,579,612.29** | 2 | $3,493,563.67 | | **oppose** | Ryan Mackenzie | PA | **$1,543,862.96** | 5 | $3,742,645.95 | | **oppose** | Eric Flores | TX | **$1,492,461.62** | 6 | $4,806,141.85 | | **oppose** | Tano Tijerina | TX | **$1,443,494.58** | 7 | $3,173,048.65 | | **oppose** | John Braun | WA | **$1,349,624.25** | 3 | $3,372,692.50 | | **oppose** | Robert Wittman | VA | **$1,234,032.00** | 3 | $3,248,262.23 | Also on the notice, among the sitting Republicans targeted: **Anna Paulina Luna** (FL) $1,198,769.80 · **Bryan Steil** (WI) $1,118,400.00 · [[Bill Huizenga]] (MI) $1,101,506.50 · [[Scott Perry]] (PA) $1,073,970.12 · [[Monica De La Cruz]] (TX) $1,004,068.48 · [[David Valadao]] (CA) $994,559.76 · **Michael Turner** (OH) $975,903.67 · [[Juan Ciscomani]] (AZ) $586,508.60 across **11 lines**, the most lines of any race · [[Zach Nunn]] (IA) $450,756.86 · [[Mike Lawler]] (NY) $397,614.00. **Three races enter the committee's record on this notice** with no prior cycle aggregate: Eric Conroy (OH) $812,923.57, Aaron Flint (MT) $661,784.83 and Ralph Alvarado (KY) $284,120.01. ## Vendors | Vendor | Amount | Share | |---|---|---| | **[[Waterfront Strategies]]** | **$39,139,326.05** | **78.5%** | | Uplift Campaigns | $1,510,807.63 | 3.0% | | SKDKnickerbocker LLC | $1,340,669.80 | 2.7% | | AL Media LLC | $1,296,446.00 | 2.6% | | Rising Tide Interactive, LLC | $1,204,148.35 | 2.4% | | MVAR Media LLC | $1,138,028.82 | 2.3% | | Wavelength Strategy LLC | $963,439.00 | 1.9% | | Blueprint Interactive | $743,777.04 | 1.5% | | Gambit Strategies LLC | $615,134.20 | 1.2% | | Adwell · Trilogy Interactive LLC · AMS Communications, Inc. and others | balance | ~3.9% | ## Why it matters 🔴 **It is the single largest independent-expenditure notice in this vault's record, and it is Democratic.** The vault's 2026 coverage has been dominated by the Republican leadership vehicles and the tech-fortune networks funding them. This notice is larger than any of them: bigger than the [[Congressional Leadership Fund]]'s $35,119,415.63 House notice of the following day, bigger than SLF PAC's $33,080,843.43 Senate notice, and bigger than any single Texas PAC filing. **Fifty districts, one dissemination date, one vendor taking 78.5%.** 🔴 **The Waterfront Strategies trigger fires at nearly twice its threshold.** This vault had been watching for "any single Waterfront Strategies notice above $20M." This one is **$39,139,326.05** — 78.5% of a $49.9M buy through one firm. Waterfront is the Democratic-side counterpart to [[Flexpoint Media]], which took **$38,746,319.89** across the two Republican leadership notices on the following receipt date. **The two parties' House and Senate programmes each run through a single concentrated placement firm, at almost exactly the same scale, inside two days.** **Two candidates were targeted from both directions inside forty-eight hours.** [[Laurie Buckhout]] (NC) took **$2,700,906.29 opposing** from HMP on October 15 and **$100,000.00 supporting** from CLF on October 16. [[Marcy Kaptur]] (OH) took **$27,684.00 supporting** from HMP and **$777,953.89 opposing** from CLF. The mirror is exact, and in Kaptur's case the committee defending a nineteen-term Democrat spent 3.6% of what the committee attacking her did. **The map is the forecast.** Florida supplies the two largest lines and four of the top eleven; Pennsylvania, Michigan and Ohio each appear three or more times. The notice targets a long list of **sitting Republican incumbents** — Fitzpatrick, Van Orden, Miller, Luna, Perry, Steil, Huizenga, De La Cruz, Valadao, Turner, Ciscomani, Nunn, Lawler, Kiggans, Kean, Carey, Begich — which is what a committee spending to flip a chamber rather than to hold one looks like. > [!note] What this figure is, and what it is not > This is the sum of the **live Schedule E lines on one Form 24 notice**, derived from the filed document > rather than from any API aggregation, with memo-flagged and amendment rows excluded (there are none in > this document). The **cycle aggregate** column is the filing's own, whose meaning is filer-dependent, > and is reproduced as reported rather than as a derived race total. Because this notice was recovered on > a **T-2 re-scan**, its receipt date was closed when it was read, so this figure is not a partial-day > first read. ## See Also - [[House Majority PAC]] · [[House Majority PAC 21.9M House IE October 2026]] - [[Waterfront Strategies]] - [[CLF 35.1M House Map IE October 2026]] · [[Congressional Leadership Fund]] · [[Flexpoint Media]] - [[SLF PAC 33.1M Senate Map IE October 2026]] - [[Laurie Buckhout]] · [[Marcy Kaptur]] - [[Independent Expenditure]] · [[Super PACs]] · [[Dark Money]] - [[2026 House Races Hub]] · [[Deals Hub]]