# Eurabia **Eurabia is the conspiracy theory that European elites have deliberately arranged the Islamisation of Europe** — that political leaders, principally French, entered into a covert bargain with Arab states to admit mass Muslim immigration and suppress European culture in exchange for oil and geopolitical advantage. It is the direct ancestor of [[Great Replacement Theory]] and the organising myth of the counter-jihad movement described at [[Islamophobia]]. ## Origin The theory was developed in the early 2000s by **Bat Ye'or**, the pen name of Gisèle Littman, and given its canonical statement in her 2005 book *Eurabia: The Euro-Arab Axis*. The word itself she took from the title of a 1970s newsletter published by the Comité européen de coordination des associations d'amitié avec le monde arabe, a Euro-Arab friendship body — an ordinary diplomatic artifact reread as the paper trail of a conspiracy. Its companion coinage is **"dhimmitude,"** Bat Ye'or's term for the condition of submission she claims Europe has already accepted: denying its own culture, subsidising Muslim populations, and policing criticism of Islam on their behalf. The word adapts *dhimmi*, the historical legal status of non-Muslims under Islamic rule, into a description of present-day Europeans — a rhetorical move that casts the majority as the persecuted minority. ## Structure of the claim Eurabia has the formal architecture of classical conspiracy theory rather than of a demographic argument, and scholars have repeatedly compared it to the *Protocols of the Elders of Zion*: - **Intentionality.** Migration is not a process but a plan, with authors. - **Elite treason.** The agents are European leaders acting against their own populations — which is what makes the theory usable against any establishment, and why it fuses so readily with [[Euroscepticism]]. - **Documentary fetish.** Real institutions (the Euro-Arab Dialogue, EU-Mediterranean agreements) are reread as evidence of a secret pact, in the way the 1991 "civilization-jihad" memo functions in the American version. - **Irreversibility.** The conquest is already far advanced, which converts ordinary politics into emergency and licenses extraordinary remedies. ⭐ **The relationship to [[Entryism]] is the analytically useful part.** Eurabia takes a bounded and partly documented phenomenon — small networks of political [[Islamism]] capturing individual local institutions, which the French government's May 2025 Muslim Brotherhood report measured at 139 of roughly 2,800 French places of worship, about 5% — and removes every bound: from institutions to a continent, from a network to a civilization, from years to generations. The inflation is doing political work. A few dozen captured mosques justify a policing problem. A planned civilizational conquest justifies mass deportation. ## The evidence against it - **Scale.** Muslims are approximately **6%** of Europe's population of more than 500 million. - **Fertility convergence.** Migrant fertility rates typically converge with native rates within two generations — the mechanism the theory's demographic projections require simply does not hold. Justin Vaïsse's critique turns on precisely this. The Pew Research Center's 2011 assessment was that its data was not pointing toward Eurabia at all. - **Integration.** Muslim educational and political attainment in Europe trends upward across generations rather than toward separatism; Britain's home secretary and London's mayor are Muslim. - **The "no-go zone" and creeping-sharia claims** — that European cities contain areas outside state control and that Islamic law is entering national legal systems — are not supported by reporting on the ground. ## Violence Eurabia is a documented input to lethal violence, which is why this vault tags it *violence-producing* rather than merely false. [[Anders Behring Breivik]]'s compendium [[2083 A European Declaration of Independence]], emailed hours before the [[2011 Norway Attacks]] killed 77 people, lifts the thesis at length and takes Bat Ye'or's framework as its spine. The Dutch politician Geert Wilders and Italy's [[Matteo Salvini]] are among the elected figures who have propagated versions of it. Within a few years [[Renaud Camus]]'s [[Great Replacement Theory]] phrasing had displaced "Eurabia" as the dominant formulation and carried the same argument into the 2019–2022 terror wave. See [[Stochastic Terrorism]] for the mechanism. > [!note] Eurabia and Great Replacement are not identical > Eurabia is **conspiratorial and geopolitical**: a treasonous elite bargain with Arab states, with Muslims as the instrument. [[Great Replacement Theory]] as [[Renaud Camus]] framed it is **demographic and racial**: substitution of a native population by a foreign one, with the elite as facilitator rather than signatory, and not necessarily Muslim-specific. The two have largely merged in practice, but the earlier version is the one that supplies the *documents* and the later one the *numbers*. ## See Also - [[Great Replacement Theory]] — the successor formulation - [[Islamophobia]] — the network and industry this theory serves - [[Islamism]] — the bounded real phenomenon the theory inflates - [[Entryism]] — the mechanism, and why the accusation resists falsification - [[2083 A European Declaration of Independence]] · [[Anders Behring Breivik]] · [[2011 Norway Attacks]] — the lethal application - [[Orientalism]] — the representational frame underneath - [[Anti-Sharia Movement]] — the American legislative expression - [[Euroscepticism]] — the political current it fuses with