# NH-01 — 2026 U.S. House Race (Tier 2) > [!info] Tier 2 light file > Likely-rated seat — condensed tracking page. Promote to a full Tier 1 dossier if a forecaster moves it to Toss Up / Lean. New Hampshire's historically swingy 1st District is **open** because incumbent [[Chris Pappas]] is running for the U.S. Senate (see [[NH-Sen-2026]]). The seat has flipped between the parties repeatedly over the past two decades; Republicans are eyeing it, but Cook currently rates the open contest **Likely Democratic**. **Ratings:** Cook **Likely Democratic** (open-seat). ## Related - [[2026 House Races Hub]] - [[Chris Pappas]] — departing incumbent ([[NH-Sen-2026]])