# MN-02 — 2026 U.S. House Race (Tier 2) > [!info] Tier 2 light file > Likely-rated seat — condensed tracking page. Promote to a full Tier 1 dossier if a forecaster moves it to Toss Up / Lean. Suburban Twin Cities seat (southern metro) now **open** because incumbent [[Angie Craig]] is running for the U.S. Senate (see [[MN-Sen-2026]]). Craig held this swing-ish seat through several cycles; the open contest carries more risk than a Craig defense, and forecasters that earlier rated it Solid/Lean have settled around **Likely Democratic** on Cook. **Ratings:** Cook **Likely Democratic** (open-seat). ## Related - [[2026 House Races Hub]] - [[Angie Craig]] — departing incumbent ([[MN-Sen-2026]])