# IN-01 — 2026 U.S. House Race (Tier 2) > [!info] Tier 2 light file > Likely-rated seat — condensed tracking page. Promote to a full Tier 1 dossier if a forecaster moves it to Toss Up / Lean. Northwest Indiana (the Region — Lake/Porter counties) seat held by Democrat **Frank Mrvan**, who won 2024 by ~8.5 points (53.4–44.9). A working-class, ancestrally Democratic seat that has trended Republican; **Sabato moved it from Lean D to Likely D in May 2026**, converging with Cook, as Republicans recruit for the open-ended NWI realignment story. **Ratings:** Cook **Likely Democratic**; Sabato **Likely Democratic** (shifted from Lean D, May 2026). ## Related - [[2026 House Races Hub]]