# AK-AL — 2026 U.S. House Race (Tier 2) > [!info] Tier 2 light file > Likely-rated seat — condensed tracking page. Promote to a full Tier 1 dossier if a forecaster moves it to Toss Up / Lean. Alaska's at-large seat held by freshman Republican **Nick Begich III**, who won in 2024 only after ranked-choice tabulation (48.4% first round → 51.2% in round 3) over Democrat Mary Peltola. The RCV system and Peltola's residual strength keep the seat from being safe; a Peltola-style Democrat re-engaging is the main upside scenario, but Cook rates it **Likely Republican**. **Ratings:** Cook **Likely Republican** (ranked-choice general). ## Outside-money log — FEC Form 24 notices ### Receipt date 2026-10-08 — [[House Majority PAC]] $259,239.00 **[[House Majority PAC]]** (FEC **C00495028**, filing as `HMP`) disclosed **$259,239.00** in this district on **3 Schedule E lines** in a single Form 24 notice — **file 2018607**, `F24N`, received **2026-10-08T23:07:55**, expenditure date **2026-10-06**, election code `G2026`. | Direction | Candidate | Amount | Lines | |---|---|---|---| | oppose | [[Nick Begich III]] | **$259,239.00** | 3 | The notice as a whole is **$21,914,974.25 across 146 lines covering 44 candidate positions in 19 states**, **98.59% of it negative**, with **[[Waterfront Strategies]]** placing **72.0%** of the money. The full document is recorded at [[House Majority PAC 21.9M House IE October 2026]]. **Note:** the filing codes the target as `Begich, Nicholas`, candidate ID `H2AK01083`. Separately, a new committee affiliated with his campaign — [[The 218 Fund]] — registered with the FEC on 2026-10-09. 🔴 **This notice posted late on receipt date 2026-10-08.** It was filed 53 minutes before the receipt date closed. The document's aggregate column is not published here as a district total; the figure above is summed from the document's own lines. Source: `docquery.fec.gov/dcdev/posted/2018607.fec` ## Related - [[2026 House Races Hub]] - [[Mary Peltola]] — 2024 opponent